The latest Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill survey reveals a competitive landscape in the New Jersey gubernatorial race and a commanding lead in the New York City mayoral election.
In New Jersey, Democrat Mikie Sherrill holds a narrow advantage over Republican Jack Ciattarelli, receiving 49% of likely voters’ support compared to Ciattarelli’s 48%. With undecided voters accounted for, Sherrill’s support slightly climbs to 50%. Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, emphasized the significant gender divide among voters; while men favor Ciattarelli by 16 points, Sherrill leads among women by 18 points. Both candidates share an equal balance of favorable and unfavorable ratings, with 47% of voters viewing each candidate positively. Governor Phil Murphy’s job approval remains low, with only 34% approving and 50% disapproving of his tenure.
Regarding the issues affecting New Jersey voters, 52% identify the economy as their primary concern, followed by threats to democracy (14%) and housing affordability (11%).
In New York City, Zohran Mamdani claims a substantial 25-point lead over Andrew Cuomo, garnering 50% to Cuomo’s 25%, with Curtis Sliwa at 21%. Mamdani has seen a notable increase in support among key demographic groups, particularly Black voters. His approval rating stands at 52%, while Cuomo’s sits at 35%. Among pre-voters, Mamdani significantly outperforms Cuomo, making strides across various age brackets. For NYC voters, threats to democracy are seen as the most critical issue at 30%, followed closely by economic concerns at 25%.
Both surveys illustrate distinct electoral dynamics in their respective regions as voters express varied priorities and preferences leading into the elections. The close race in New Jersey highlights the importance of gender dynamics in politics, while Mamdani’s substantial lead suggests a shift in voter sentiment in New York City. These findings could significantly influence the campaign strategies and outcomes as Election Day approaches.