Ducks vs. Boilermakers: Can Purdue Pull Off the Upset?

This Friday, the No. 2 Oregon Ducks will take on the Purdue Boilermakers in a matchup that highlights the contrast in their Big Ten standings. Oregon comes into the game with a perfect record of 6-0, including 3-0 in the conference, after narrowly defeating the No. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes 32-31 in a significant Week 7 clash. Conversely, Purdue, with a 1-5 record and 0-3 in the conference, is looking to bounce back after a heartbreaking 50-49 overtime loss to the No. 22 Illinois Fighting Illini on the same week.

Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET at Ross-Ade Stadium. The Ducks are heavily favored, with a 29.5-point spread in the latest odds, while the over/under for total points is set at 61, reflecting a 2.5-point increase from the initial figures. This matchup features both the largest point spread and the highest total on the college football betting board for Friday. For those considering bets on the game, it’s advisable to check the college football predictions and insights offered by the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model simulates each FBS college football game 10,000 times and has achieved over $2,000 in profits for $100 bettors on its best-rated picks, holding a 12-5 record on those picks over the last three weeks. The model has released its predictions for the Purdue versus Oregon game, which can be found on the SportsLine platform.

Details on the betting lines for the game include:

– Purdue vs. Oregon spread: Ducks -29.5
– Purdue vs. Oregon over/under: 61 points
– Purdue vs. Oregon money line: Ducks -7692, Boilermakers +1796
– Purdue: 2-4-0 against the spread (ATS) this season
– Oregon: 2-4-0 ATS this season

For streaming, the game will be available on FuboTV.

Reasons for Purdue’s potential to cover the spread include exploiting Oregon’s emotional letdown after a close game against Ohio State and the fact that Big Ten teams are 4-9 ATS this season when traveling across at least two time zones. Despite their recent loss, Purdue demonstrated strength, overcoming a 12-point deficit late in the game against Illinois, with Ryan Browne stepping up in the quarterback position.

On the other hand, Oregon’s defense, which has performed well this season, may find it easier to contain a struggling Purdue offense. The Ducks’ defense ranks seventh in the Big Ten for average yards allowed per game, while Purdue’s offense ranks at the bottom in both yards and points per game. Oregon’s senior quarterback, Dillon Gabriel, continues to impress, consistently throwing multiple touchdowns and racking up impressive yardage.

According to SportsLine, the model predicts a total score of 59 points for the game, leaning toward an Under outcome, and identifies one side of the spread hitting 60% of the time. For those interested in which side to favor for the matchup, more insights can be accessed through SportsLine.

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