Cisco Earnings Ahead: Will History Repeat Itself?

Cisco Earnings Ahead: Will History Repeat Itself?

Cisco Systems Inc (NASDAQ: CSCO), known for its networking equipment, security, collaboration, and cloud management services, is poised to announce its fiscal third-quarter earnings on May 14, 2025. Analysts predict earnings of 92 cents per share alongside revenues of $14.06 billion, marking a 5% increase in adjusted earnings year-over-year and an 11% rise in sales when compared to the previous year’s figures of 88 cents per share and $12.7 billion in revenue.

In examining Cisco’s historical performance, the company has generally excelled post-earnings announcements, with a 60% probability of stock increases, reflecting a median one-day rise of 4.2%. However, Cisco’s exposure to global economic changes, particularly due to tariffs affecting key markets like Canada, China, and Mexico, could influence its profitability. Nevertheless, Cisco maintains its strong market position and stands to gain from growth in the Internet of Things (IoT) sector. As of now, the company boasts a market capitalization of $238 billion with substantial operational profitability, recording $54 billion in revenue over the last twelve months.

Traders may find that understanding Cisco’s historical earnings patterns can provide strategic insights, especially regarding short-term trading moves. Statistics from the past five years indicate that of the 20 recorded earnings events, 12 resulted in positive one-day returns. This trend, however, shows a slight dip to 58% when examined over the last three years.

Traders can also consider the correlation between short-term (one-day) and medium-term (five-day) returns to better strategize their trades, as historical patterns suggest that a positive one-day return often correlates with favorable subsequent returns. Additionally, performance comparisons with peer companies can offer insights into potential stock reactions, underscoring the interconnectedness in the tech sector.

As Cisco continues to navigate both opportunities and challenges ahead, it remains a focal point for investors, particularly those looking to capitalize on its robust market presence and future growth potential in emerging technologies.

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