After a narrow seven-point defeat against #4 Arizona, BYU is set to return to Provo to challenge #6 Iowa State. The Cougars fought valiantly in their last game, primarily relying on AJ Dybantsa for offense in the absence of Richie Saunders. As they prepare for another tough matchup, BYU fans are eager to see if they can secure their first Quadrant 1A victory against the Cyclones.
Iowa State, boasting a record of 23-3 and ranked 6th in the AP polls, has proven to be a formidable force this season. However, they have shown vulnerability on the road, holding a 3-3 record in Big 12 away games. The game is scheduled for Saturday at 8:30pm MT and will be broadcasted on ESPN, setting the stage for a thrilling encounter.
In the latest KenPom rankings, Iowa State holds the 7th position, with a NET ranking of 6, while BYU sits at 22nd in KenPom and 21st in NET. Both teams have had impressive seasons, with the Cyclones aiming for a potential 2 seed in the upcoming NCAA Tournament. Known for their aggressive defense, Iowa State has ranked #4 in the Big 12 for offensive efficiency and #3 in defensive efficiency. Their potent offensive game is highlighted by a strong three-point shooting percentage of 39%, led by top scorer Milan Momcilovic.
Momcilovic, shooting at an impressive 51% from three, coupled with Joshua Jefferson, a versatile 6-foot-9 forward and candidate for defensive player of the year, form a dynamic duo that can challenge BYU’s defense. Jefferson not only excels at scoring but also averages over 5 assists per game, showcasing his playmaking abilities.
Despite their strengths, Iowa State’s offense has shown weaknesses, particularly in turnovers and free throw shooting, placing them 12th in turnover percentage and last in the Big 12 for free throw percentage at 64%. Their defensive reputation remains intact, ranked highly in turnover percentage and three-point defense, but they have been exposed in some recent matchups, including their last home game loss to TCU.
Players to watch include Jefferson and Momcilovic, along with senior guard Talin Lipsey, a staple of the Cyclones’ lineup who averages 13 points and 5 assists. Freshman guard Killyan Toure has also been making an impact alongside Lipsey, highlighting a well-rounded team.
While BYU faces an uphill battle, the Cougars have some advantages to capitalize on. The supportive atmosphere at the Marriott Center is expected to energize the team, and the differing performance of Iowa State on the road could play in their favor. AJ Dybantsa’s potential standout performance will be crucial, but depth and support from teammates will be key for BYU to overcome their last encounter’s shortcomings.
The prediction leans towards Iowa State, but BYU has a chance to keep the game close and even pull off an upset in the final moments. A victory would not only uplift the squad but also send a message to NCAA Tournament selectors about their capability to compete without Richie Saunders.
Prediction: Iowa State 77, BYU 73.