Paige Bueckers headlines Friday’s WNBA prop bets after a historic rookie night
Paige Bueckers is back in the spotlight after she set the single-game rookie scoring record with 44 points against the Los Angeles Sparks. The Dallas Wings point guard headlines three Friday player props as the WNBA action tips off for a three-game slate.
WNBA player prop bets for August 22
– Bueckers Over 19.5 points (-102)
– Mitchell Over 20.5 points (-118)
– Thomas Under 8.5 assists (+105)
Today’s best WNBA player prop bets
– Paige Bueckers Over 19.5 points (-102 at FanDuel)
The books have Bueckers at a modest 19.5 points, a line she has surpassed in six of the last nine games. The Seattle Storm boast a top-five defense in points allowed, and they’ve limited Bueckers to under this total in two prior contests. But Seattle has been slumping recently, with only two wins in the last nine and an opponent scoring average near 89 points per game. Bueckers appears to be catching them at a favorable moment to push past the over.
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Where to watch: ION
Kelsey Mitchell Over 20.5 points (-118 at FanDuel)
This game could feature extra scoring firepower with Napheesa Collier (ankle) and Caitlin Clark (groin) unavailable. Mitchell has been the offensive engine for her team, topping scoring charts nine times in 13 games in Clark’s absence. She notched a season-high 38 points against the Connecticut Sun and has reached 21 or more in eight of the last 12 games. Expect the scoring to continue Friday.
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Where to watch: ION
Alyssa Thomas Under 8.5 assists (+105 at FanDuel)
Thomas leads the league in assists this season at 9.0 per game, with defenses frequently struggling to slow her playmaking. But Friday she’ll face the league’s second-best scoring defense and sits among those who are among the top five in assists allowed. She has gone Under 8.5 assists in two straight games and in three of the last five, including against these same Valkyries on August 19. It should be tight, but a narrow Under is in play.
Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
Where to watch: ION
Today’s WNBA games
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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What to watch for and added context
– Bueckers’ breakout performance sets a high bar, but her continued scoring touch and the favorable matchup against a Storm defense that has struggled more recently could push her past the 19.5-point mark again.
– Mitchell’s value is magnified by the injuries on her team, making her the primary scoring option for extended stretches. Her recent scoring surges suggest a strong chance to exceed 20.5 points.
– Thomas is a perennial assist leader, but the upcoming matchup challenges her with a stingy defense that can limit playmaking opportunities, making the Under a plausible outcome despite her norm.
Summary
Friday’s slate features a marquee performance from Bueckers, a top-scoring opportunity for Mitchell, and a defensive test for Thomas. The bets reflect recent form, opponent tendencies, and injury news that shape scoring opportunities across the night.
Overall outlook
Paige Bueckers remains a bright, high-ceiling young star whose scoring has shown little sign of slowing. If Seattle’s recent defensive lapses continue, the Over on Bueckers’ points could hit again. Mitchell’s workload is likely to stay heavy with key teammates unavailable, making her Over a strong playoff-like bet. Thomas’ assist line is the trickiest, hinging on tempo and opponent defense, but a disciplined defensive effort could keep her below the 8.5 mark. Expect an entertaining night of WNBA action with several strong prop opportunities.