The Denver Broncos are gearing up for a crucial AFC matchup against the Cleveland Browns in Week 13, as they aim to solidify their playoff aspirations. The Broncos have turned their season around after a tough loss in Baltimore earlier this month, now riding a three-game winning streak that leaves them with a robust 9-3 record against the spread (ATS), including a perfect 5-0 as favorites.
Head coach Sean Payton’s impact is evident, particularly in the performance of rookie quarterback Bo Nix. Since Week 9, Nix has been impressive, securing an 83.5 passing grade—ranking him third in the NFL—while boasting an outstanding 84.7% adjusted completion percentage. He has thrown eight touchdowns without an interception during this period, underscoring his potential for the Offensive Rookie of the Year award. In his last five outings, Nix has consistently surpassed 220 passing yards and thrown at least two touchdowns in three games.
The Broncos’ defense has also played a critical role in their recent success, ranking second in expected points added (EPA) allowed per play and among the top five teams in limiting scoring drive percentage. This strong defensive performance has allowed Nix to play with confidence.
Conversely, the Browns have experienced inconsistency in betting and performance, sitting at 4-7 ATS despite achieving two wins against playoff-caliber teams in their last four games. However, their recent struggles in the running game, ranked last in explosive run percentage since Week 7, could pose challenges against the Broncos’ defense. The Browns must find a way to bolster their offense to compete effectively.
Overall, this matchup presents an intriguing opportunity, with the Broncos looking to maintain their strong form against a Cleveland team that could disrupt their momentum if they tap into their potential.
As the teams prepare for the Monday night showdown, fans have a lot to look forward to, especially with the spotlight on Nix’s remarkable rookie season and the potential for an exciting contest. The hope remains that both teams can deliver an entertaining game that showcases the best of NFL talent.