As the excitement builds for the first round of the knockout stage in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup, a highly anticipated matchup features Brazilian teams Palmeiras and Botafogo. This encounter marks only the second time in the tournament’s history that two Brazilian clubs face off, the first being the 2000 final where Corinthians defeated Vasco da Gama.
Based on calculations from the Opta supercomputer, Palmeiras holds a slight edge with a 52.4% chance of winning within regulation time and advancing to the quarter-finals, while Botafogo’s chances of springing an upset are estimated at 23.8%. The matchup has historical significance, as these two teams have developed a fierce rivalry, particularly after their recent clashes in both the 2024 Brasileirão Serie A and the Copa Libertadores, where Botafogo emerged victorious in a thrilling encounter.
In their last league matchup at the start of the 2025 season, the two clubs played to a dramatic 0-0 draw, reflecting a highly competitive spirit, with both sides combining for 26 shots. Palmeiras, however, has not defeated Botafogo in their last five meetings, making the upcoming clash a critical opportunity for redemption.
Palmeiras secured their knockout stage spot by finishing first in Group A, notably coming back from a two-goal deficit to earn a 2-2 draw against Inter Miami on Matchday 3. Key players from Palmeiras, like Raphael Veiga and Chelsea-bound Estêvão, have showcased impressive performances, with Veiga creating the most chances in the group stage despite limited playtime.
Botafogo surprised many by clinching second place in Group B behind PSG, thanks to significant wins that included a stunning performance against the French giants. Their tactical discipline has been exemplified by conceding only one goal in their challenging matches.
With predictions favoring Palmeiras, the anticipation for this all-Brazilian showdown is palpable. The winner will move on to face either Benfica or Chelsea, promising an exhilarating continuation of the tournament for the fans. This match not only stands as a testament to Brazilian football’s rich rivalry but also offers a stage for both teams to prove their mettle on an international level.