When the San Diego Padres signed Xander Bogaerts to an impressive 11-year, $280 million contract ahead of the 2023 season, it was seen as a bold move aimed at solidifying the team’s championship ambitions. Bogaerts, coming off a strong 5.7 WAR season in Boston, was expected to be a pivotal part of the Padres’ future success.
However, by the summer of 2025, the situation surrounding Bogaerts paints a different story. Despite recently achieving a multi-hit performance, he is struggling overall with a disappointing .240/.323/.323 slash line and an OPS below .700. Although there are signs of improvement in his hard hit percentage and walk rate, his strikeout rate has also increased.
Injuries have undeniably affected Bogaerts’ performance; he has been managing shoulder discomfort since the season began. The data reflects a noticeable regression: his barrel rate has significantly dropped, and he is swinging and missing on more pitches within the strike zone than ever before. This decline raises concerns for the Padres, who expected Bogaerts to be a consistent offensive force.
Despite the wealth of infield talent already present on the roster, including Ha-Seong Kim, Fernando Tatís Jr., and Jake Cronenworth, Bogaerts transitioned to second base, a position he had not played regularly since his minor league days. As Bogaerts approaches his 33rd birthday this fall, his lengthy contract and current production levels are causing the Padres to reevaluate his role. The team must decide whether to continue placing him in the lineup due to his contract or consider him as a utility player in a roster burdened with long-term deals.
While Bogaerts remains a valuable clubhouse leader and brings vital championship experience, his current performance has raised questions about his position in the lineup as the Padres aim for a postseason spot. The organization needs more than just experience; it demands tangible production to achieve its playoff ambitions.
Moving forward, the hope remains that Bogaerts can regain his form and contribute significantly, helping the Padres navigate the challenges of the season while continuing to build toward their championship goals.