Tommy Paul is set to take on home favorite Dan Evans in the Round of 16 at the 2025 ATP Lexus Eastbourne Open, marking his first tournament appearance since the French Open. Seeded second, Paul is eager to capture his first title in Eastbourne after finishing as the runner-up in 2023, when he lost to Francisco Cerundolo in the final.
Currently ranked No. 13 in the world, Paul has been enjoying a strong season with a 25-9 record so far, securing semifinal spots in tournaments across Adelaide, Dallas, Houston, and Rome. This match presents a pivotal opportunity for Paul, especially as he looks to garner his first title in 2025.
On the other hand, Dan Evans, the British veteran ranked No. 170, has had a challenging season, with three wins and three losses thus far. Despite facing struggles primarily in ATP Challenger events, Evans recently showcased his skill with a solid performance against Miomir Kecmanovic in the Round of 32, which gives him momentum heading into this high-stakes match.
Historically, Paul and Evans share a tight head-to-head record of 1-1, marking their last encounter in 2022. Their previous matches have never concluded in straight sets, indicating the potential for a competitive showdown on the grass courts.
Paul has developed a strong game on grass, reaching two finals, including a title run at the Queen’s Club last year. With his impressive service game and breakdown statistics on this surface, he has a favorable edge going into this match against Evans, who has recently endured a strenuous battle.
Betting odds suggest Paul is the favorite, with a 75% implied probability of advancing to the next round. Given these factors and Paul’s current form, many anticipate a strong performance leading to a victory in straight sets.
The match promises to be an exciting one, with both players bringing unique strengths to the court. Fans can look forward to a thrilling contest at Eastbourne as Tommy Paul aims for his first crown in a town that has been just out of reach so far.