The Arkansas Razorbacks are set to clash with the Mississippi State Bulldogs in a highly anticipated SEC matchup on Saturday, February 7, 2026, at 12 p.m. ET, featured on ESPN2. The Razorbacks enter as favorites, holding a 6.5-point spread and a moneyline of -305, with the total points over/under set at 162.5.
The Razorbacks are currently enjoying a strong season with a 16-6 overall record, having secured victories in three of their last four games. Under the guidance of Hall of Fame coach John Calipari, who is in his second season after a storied career at Kentucky, Arkansas is poised to make another NCAA Tournament appearance. After a disappointing Sweet 16 loss to Texas Tech last season, there’s a renewed determination within the team.
The 2025 offseason was pivotal for Arkansas as they attracted two top-10 recruits in guards Darius Acuff Jr. and Meleek Thomas. Acuff, a dynamic 6-foot-4 guard, has been a standout averaging over 20 points per game and showcasing his playmaking ability with six assists. Thomas has also made a significant impact, contributing around 15 points per game, as the Razorbacks boast one of the highest-scoring offenses in the country, averaging 88 points per game and ranking seventh in offensive efficiency.
Despite their offensive prowess, Arkansas has struggled on the defensive end, ranking outside the top 60 for defensive efficiency. The Razorbacks will need to tighten their defense if they hope to maintain their position in the SEC standings and make a deep playoff run. Veteran forward Trevon Brazile has been another key player, contributing significantly to both ends of the floor with averages of 12.5 points and seven rebounds per game.
On the other hand, the Mississippi State Bulldogs are fighting to regain their form, currently sitting at a .500 record following a tough stretch, losing six of their last seven games. Head coach Chris Jans, known for his defensive acumen, faces a tough challenge to steer the Bulldogs back on track. After guiding the team to three consecutive NCAA Tournament appearances, Jans is looking to instill a renewed sense of urgency as they head into this crucial matchup.
The Bulldogs find themselves needing a winning streak to boost their fading tournament hopes. Junior guard Josh Hubbard has emerged as a key scorer, averaging slightly under 21 points per game, while senior Jayden Epps contributes over 15 points per game. However, the frontcourt has not been delivering much offensively, which poses a challenge for Mississippi State as they try to find balance in scoring.
As both teams vie for crucial wins, the Arkansas Razorbacks appear better positioned to secure a victory, given their strong offensive capabilities and the talent amassed through high-level recruiting. This contest is critical for both squads, with Arkansas looking to extend their winning record while Mississippi State seeks to avoid further setbacks.
The prediction leans towards Arkansas covering the spread, with a resounding inference that they can overcome the Bulldogs and reclaim momentum in their season.