Elena-Gabriela Ruse is set to take on Mirra Andreeva in the third round of the Women’s Singles at the Australian Open 2026 on Friday. Predictions from Dimers’ advanced tennis model suggest that Andreeva is favored to win, with simulations indicating an impressive 85% likelihood of her advancing past Ruse.
The model’s simulations, which have run 10,000 iterations, also suggest that Andreeva has a 79% chance of winning the first set, highlighting her strong position going into the match. For those interested in betting, Ruse is given a 53% chance to cover a games spread of +6.5, while there is a 54% probability for the total games to remain under 19.5.
Current betting odds reflect this sentiment, with the moneyline for Ruse listed at +550 and for Andreeva at -699. In terms of the first set, Ruse stands at +350, while Andreeva is at -500. The game spread is set at +6.5 for Ruse at -170 and -6.5 for Andreeva at +105. Total game odds are listed as over 19.5 at -120 and under 19.5 at -120.
As the match approaches, fans and bettors alike will be keen to see if the simulations hold true. Andreeva’s strong predictive metrics provide an optimistic outlook for her performance, making for an exciting and potentially decisive matchup in the quest for Australian Open glory.