The Seattle Seahawks have defied expectations this season, particularly with the surprising performance of quarterback Sam Darnold, who many believed would struggle under the leadership of offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak. Initially, there were doubts surrounding both Darnold’s capabilities and Kubiak’s play-calling, especially after their respective tenures in Minnesota. However, the duo has proven critics wrong, showcasing an offensive strategy that turns perceived weaknesses into strengths.
Kubiak’s system emphasizes a run-first approach, which, at first glance, seems problematic for the Seahawks. They rank near the bottom in both Expected Points Added (EPA) per rush and yards per carry, running the ball nearly half of the time (49.7%, second-most in the league). Despite the inefficiency of their rushing attack, this commitment to the ground game effectively manipulates opposing defenses.
The philosophy behind this strategy is rooted in the mechanics of the game: while Seattle’s rushing numbers may not appear impressive, they create significant openings for the passing attack. Darnold has thrived in this system, leading the team to rank sixth in completion percentage, first in yards per attempt, and third in passer rating. This performance is particularly remarkable given the team’s lackluster rushing efficiency.
Central to Kubiak’s offensive playbook is the use of 12 personnel, which features two tight ends, two receivers, and a running back. This formation not only paints the Seahawks as a run-heavy team but also sets up excellent passing opportunities when defenses commit to stopping the run. Seattle excels in EPA per dropback with this setup, capitalizing on defenses’ miscalculations.
Moreover, when the Seahawks employ play-action passes, the results are devastating. They lead the league in yards per attempt on these plays and boast a completion rate nearing 69%. Defenses often find themselves guessing, unable to predict whether Darnold will attempt a pass or hand off the ball, which maintains an element of surprise crucial for offensive success.
What makes Seattle’s offense particularly menacing is its adaptability, especially when leading in games. The heavy formations allow them to control the clock through the run while remaining a potent aerial threat. This combination proves to be a defensive nightmare, primarily in the closing stages of matches, as it keeps opponents on their toes.
In what once seemed an unlikely pairing, Darnold and Kubiak have now formed a potent offensive partnership. While the Seahawks’ ground game may not shine in statistics, it serves as a critical component for their success. Both players have exceeded expectations, raising hope for a promising season ahead as the Seahawks aim to establish themselves as serious contenders in the NFL. This turnaround narrative highlights not only individual resilience but also the power of innovative coaching in transforming teams and careers.