In an eagerly anticipated match at UFC 324, Nikita Krylov is set to square off against Modestas Bukauskas on January 24 at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. With Krylov entering the fight as the underdog at +124 and Bukauskas favored at -148, bookmakers expect a competitive bout. The fight is scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET and will be available for streaming on Paramount+.
This light-heavyweight showdown marks a significant clash of career trajectories. Krylov, a seasoned veteran since 2013, holds a professional record of 30 wins and 11 losses, known for his grappling and striking prowess that has earned him 28 fight finishes. However, the 33-year-old’s recent performances raise questions about his ability to compete at his former level. Following a two-year injury layoff, Krylov returned in April 2025 but has faced difficulties, suffering knockout losses in both of his subsequent fights, hinting at the toll taken by years of competition.
Conversely, Bukauskas, who boasts a record of 19 wins and 6 losses, is entering a prime phase of his fighting career at just 31 years old. His recent performances demonstrate a newfound confidence and improving defensive grappling skills, which could be crucial against Krylov, who has a 38% takedown accuracy rate. Bukauskas stands out with an impressive 80% takedown defense rate, making it challenging for Krylov to implement his grappling game effectively.
Interestingly, Krylov has a slight reach advantage, measuring 77 inches compared to Bukauskas’s 76. However, Bukauskas has shown a more effective use of distance, comfortable fighting at range, which could play a pivotal role in the match. Although his opponents have not always been top-tier, Bukauskas’s last win over Ion Cutelaba showcased his ability to defend against takedowns, as he successfully nullified Cutelaba’s attempts, further building his momentum.
As fight night approaches, predictions lean towards Bukauskas finishing the match inside the distance. Krylov’s recent struggles to absorb damage may leave him vulnerable. While acknowledging Krylov’s abilities, the chaotic nature of his fighting style may not hold up against a confident Bukauskas, who looks to capitalize on any openings.
With the fight poised to attract significant attention, fans and analysts alike eagerly await the outcome of this pivotal bout.