The Oklahoma Sooners are set to face off against the Vanderbilt Commodores in Nashville, Tennessee, on February 7, 2026, with tip-off scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET on SEC Network. As the matchup approaches, Vanderbilt is currently favored by 11.5 points, with a moneyline of -900. The total points for the game is projected at 159.5.
Recent analysis suggests that Oklahoma has the potential to cover the spread, despite a challenging season in SEC play. After a solid opening win against Mississippi State, the Sooners have unfortunately struggled, dropping the next nine games in conference play. However, the team’s offensive capabilities, ranked 50th nationally in efficiency, suggest that they have the talent to improve.
Nijel Pack stands out as a key player for Oklahoma, known for his sharpshooting ability, which includes a 42% success rate from beyond the arc. Pack had a rough outing against Kentucky but had scored over 20 points in previous games. Meanwhile, Xzayvier Brown has been consistent, leading the team with averages of 16.4 points and 3.2 assists per game.
Oklahoma’s shooting strategy heavily relies on three-point attempts, with about 45% of their shots coming from long range, yielding a 34% success rate. In addition, their rebounding efforts on offensive boards can play a crucial role, particularly with a strong frontcourt featuring Mo Wague, Derrion Reid, and Tae Davis—all averaging over 4.5 rebounds per game.
On the other hand, the Vanderbilt Commodores are facing their own challenges, particularly with injuries impacting their backcourt. Frankie Collins has been out since December, and Duke Miles has recently undergone knee surgery. This has led to a larger lineup on the court, which although effective in rebounding, lacks in shooting capabilities, as highlighted by their last game where they attempted 32 three-pointers. Key players like Tyler Tanner and Mike James will be crucial for the Commodores’ offensive execution.
Defensively, Vanderbilt ranks impressively in both offensive and defensive efficiency but has shown vulnerabilities, especially inside, where opponents are managing to shoot 49% on two-point attempts against them.
Given these dynamics, there is optimism that Oklahoma can keep the game competitive, especially if their star players come through as expected. The prediction favors Oklahoma to cover the spread, providing an opportunity for a closer contest than the odds suggest. With the game in Nashville, both teams will be looking to capitalize on any weaknesses of their opponent as they strive for a pivotal victory in the season.