Dan Johnson provides an insightful analysis and prediction for the highly anticipated college basketball matchup tonight between the Marquette Golden Eagles and the DePaul Blue Demons, set to unfold at Fiserv Forum. Marquette enters the game with a record of 10-18 overall and 5-12 in league play, while DePaul stands at 15-13 and 7-10 in the conference, having triumphed in their earlier encounter with a score of 80-75 in Chicago.
The Golden Eagles recently halted a three-game losing streak with a decisive 76-60 victory in their last road outing. With Royce Parham projected to return to the starting lineup, Marquette is expected to benefit from his presence. Additionally, excitement surrounds the game with the Markus Howard banner unveiling before tip-off, adding a motivational boost for the home team.
Statistically, Marquette holds the edge offensively, averaging 73.7 points per game compared to DePaul’s 67.7. They boast better shooting percentages, with a field goal success rate of 45.4% versus DePaul’s 43.1%. Marquette also tops in various possession metrics, including a 1.41 assist-to-turnover ratio and a +1.29 turnover margin, benefiting from their defensive prowess by limiting league opponents to just 33.1% shooting from beyond the arc.
While DePaul presents a stronger presence on the boards with a rebounding margin of -0.6 relative to Marquette’s -6.9, this area will be crucial in determining which team secures extra possessions. The standout player for Marquette is Nigel James Jr., who has averaged 20.0 points and 6.2 assists over his last five matches. Chase Ross continues to contribute effectively, while Parham’s return adds a significant frontcourt option, crucial for Marquette’s offensive strategy.
For DePaul, NJ Benson has been exceptional, averaging 17.4 points and 8.8 rebounds recently. Brandon Maclin has also provided support with solid performances. However, the fluctuating form of CJ Gunn, who had a remarkable previous matchup against Marquette, could impact DePaul’s offensive efficiency.
In reviewing recent performance, Marquette’s scoring has surged to an average of 78.4 points per game over their last ten games, closely mirroring DePaul’s offensive struggles. With a close spread for tonight’s contest, it would be prudent to lean towards the team with superior offensive rhythm and backcourt pressure—the Golden Eagles.
The betting tip is to take Marquette at -4.5. Even though DePaul could keep the game competitive through rebounding and free-throw opportunities, Marquette’s refined offensive capabilities and the expected return of key players should ultimately secure a solid win, likely finishing the game in the vicinity of 72-66 or 74-68.
Fans and bettors alike can follow Johnson for more insights and predictions throughout the season.