The winter chill is upon us, and for teams like the Miami Dolphins, traditionally known for their struggles in cold weather, the stakes are high as they prepare to face the Pittsburgh Steelers. Historically, Miami has had difficulties in sub-40-degree games, with quarterback Tua Tagovailoa holding an 0-5 record in such temperatures. Their recent victory in New York, amid a more bearable 41-degree kickoff, raised some eyebrows about their ability to perform in colder conditions.
Miami’s past struggles occurred against tough opponents, including the Bills and Packers, raising questions around their efficiency during adverse weather. However, key staffing changes could shift the dynamics in this matchup. The Steelers will be without star linebacker T.J. Watt, who is sidelined due to a punctured lung from a recent treatment. Watt’s absence is significant, as Pittsburgh has struggled in previous games without him, winning only once in his absence while allowing an average of 27 points in their losses.
While the Dolphins have leaned heavily on their running game during their recent four-game win streak — ranking second in the NFL for Expected Points Added per rushing play since Week 10 — they face a Steelers defense that ranks poorly against the run. This could provide Miami with an opportunity to exploit the matchup, allowing Tagovailoa to throw less often.
Tagovailoa’s passing attempts have been minimal lately, averaging around 21 attempts per game during this stretch. With Pittsburgh’s defense likely unable to mount significant pressure without Watt, there is a chance for the Dolphins to maintain a balanced attack with a focus on their ground game.
Tags like quarterback props for Tagovailoa under 28.5 pass attempts or bets favoring running backs Jaylen Wright and Ollie Gordon to score provide additional avenues for betting enthusiasts. Both players have demonstrated the capability to perform effectively, especially in the run-heavy strategy Miami has adopted.
As the weather becomes an unpredictable element, the Dolphins aim to capitalize on the Steelers’ vulnerabilities. The prospect of playing in cold conditions may not thrill every player, but the strategic advantages stemming from personnel changes and the Dolphins’ recent form could lead to a positive outcome for Miami as they hit the field against Pittsburgh. This matchup is a prime opportunity for Miami to prove that they can overcome traditional hurdles, showcasing their evolution and readiness for any challenge.