Benfica is set to take on Atlético CP in a highly anticipated Portuguese Cup matchup on November 21, 2025, at the historic Estádio da Tapadinha in Lisbon. The odds heavily favor Benfica, managed by the tactically astute José Mourinho, with a staggering 1.08 to advance, reflecting their dominant recent form.
Benfica enters this Round 4 clash with an impressive record, netting 13 goals in their last five matches, while Atlético CP has struggled significantly, scoring only once in the same period. This scoring disparity underlines Benfica’s attacking prowess, particularly highlighted by forward Vangelis Pavlidis, who has tallied five goals in his last five games. His connection with playmaker Leandro Barreiro has been a constant source of threats against opposing defenses.
Head-to-head statistics further emphasize Benfica’s advantage, as they have consistently led the overall series against Atlético CP. Benfica’s recent offensive statistics showcase an average of 2.6 goals per game and an 87% pass accuracy, demonstrating their control and relentless attacking intent. In stark contrast, Atlético CP has shown weak offensive capabilities, recently managing a draw against Amora and suffering defeats to Mafra.
Mourinho’s tactical acumen, particularly in knockout tournaments, adds an extra layer of anticipation to this matchup. With a recent 3-0 victory over Vitória Guimarães, Benfica has proven capable of bouncing back, as evidenced by their resilience in a recent 2-2 draw against Casa Pia. Their only minor blemish, a 1-0 loss to Bayer Leverkusen in European competition, revealed no significant defensive weaknesses, as they controlled the match’s tempo.
Comments from sports analysts emphasize Benfica’s status as clear favorites, with Rafael Nogueira from Tips.GG highlighting their tactical discipline and potent attacking options as key strengths that could prove insurmountable for Atlético CP. The bookmakers echo this sentiment, with significant discrepancies in win odds—Benfica projected at 1.08 while Atlético sits far behind at 23.00.
However, surprises in football are never out of the question. An early injury to a key player like Pavlidis could impact Benfica’s rhythm, while Atlético’s chance to capitalize would hinge on their ability to maintain intensity and possibly exploit defensive lapses or capitalize on set pieces.
While the statistical analysis heavily favors Benfica, the unpredictability of cup football means anything is possible. Mourinho’s history with knockout competitions gives Benfica an edge, instilling confidence in fans and bettors alike that they are well-prepared to navigate the challenges ahead, aiming to not just win but do so convincingly.