The Utah State Aggies will face off against the USF Bulls in a college basketball matchup on December 4, 2025, at 7 p.m. ET in Tampa, Florida, with the game being broadcast on ESPN+. The Aggies are currently favored by 1.5 points with a moneyline of -140, and the total points are set at 162.5.
In this encounter, predicting a victory for the Aggies seems prudent, particularly since they have performed impressively this season, holding a perfect 7-0 record. Despite a close call against Montana State recently, Utah State’s overall performance remains strong. Their offensive efficiency ranks 35th nationally, bolstered by standout players like Mason Falslev and former SEC guard MJ Collins Jr., the latter averaging 21 points per game and having notable performances, including a stellar 40-point game against Davidson.
The Aggies’ ability to shoot effectively is evident, with 60% accuracy inside the arc and 36.2% from beyond the three-point line. Furthermore, their solid point guard play, led by Drake Allen, who averages 7.5 assists per game, has contributed significantly to their success. Defensively, Utah State ranks 55th, demonstrating an ability to force turnovers and contest shots at the rim effectively.
On the other hand, the USF Bulls have struggled under new head coach Bryan Hodgson, failing to secure wins against top-75 opponents and suffering narrow losses. Their offensive strategy revolves around an up-tempo style, but poor shooting has been an issue, specifically from the three-point range, where they post only a 32% success rate. Guard play has not met expectations, with key players struggling to find their rhythm.
Defensively, USF ranks 103rd in efficiency, and their penchant for allowing high percentages from deep remains concerning, especially against a team like Utah State that excels at exploiting offensive opportunities.
In conclusion, analysts believe Utah State should successfully cover the spread against USF, given the Bulls’ recent performances and struggles. With KenPom projecting a five-point advantage for the Aggies, the matchup appears to heavily favor Utah State based on current form and strategies. Therefore, Utah State at -1.5 is a favorable bet as they look to maintain their undefeated streak.