Fresh polling shows a growing number of 2024 Donald Trump voters expressing doubts about their choice, marking what pollsters describe as the clearest evidence yet of “regretful” Trump voters amid the fallout from the Iran war and tumbling presidential approval ratings. New survey data from YouGov at the University of Massachusetts Amherst and a Strength in Numbers–Verasight poll indicate a measurable softening in loyalty that could have consequences for midterm turnout and partisan control.
The YouGov/UMass survey finds that the share of Trump voters who say they are “very confident” in their 2024 vote has fallen from 74% in April 2025 to 62% in the current wave. That means 38% of Trump voters now pick a less-resolute description — “some concerns,” “mixed feelings” or “some regrets” — a rate roughly double the 19% of Kamala Harris voters who report similar ambivalence. The portion reporting “mixed feelings” rose from 8% in April 2025 to 17% in the recent poll, and another 21% said they remain confident but have “some concerns.”
Explicit, full-throated regret remains a minority position: just 5% of Trump voters told pollsters they would vote differently if they could. But the picture widens when respondents are asked how they would cast their ballot again — only 84% of Trump voters said they would vote for him a second time, compared with 91% of Harris voters, implying roughly 16% of Trump supporters would change their vote in hindsight. Pollsters say that gap between explicit “regret” and willingness to reelect signals a softening that traditional single-question measures can undercount.
The Strength in Numbers–Verasight survey corroborates the trend: 13% of Trump voters said they regret their 2024 vote at least somewhat (5% “strongly,” 8% “somewhat”), roughly double the share among Harris voters. Regret is notably higher among younger and Hispanic Trump voters — 17% of those under 30 and 16% of Hispanic Trump voters reported some level of regret — and the current regret figures are roughly double the 6–7% levels found in Washington Post and Ipsos polls last April and October.
A separate CNN poll released this week adds depth to the erosion, showing substantial disapproval among 2024 Trump voters on key policy areas that were central to his campaign. Among his 2024 backers, disapproval rates include: overall performance 22%, immigration 15%, foreign affairs 25%, the Iran crisis 28%, the economy 30%, inflation 39% and gas prices 45%. The survey also highlights a steep drop in approval among “working-class White” voters — a group that helped power Trump’s 2016 and 2020 coalitions — from 63% approval in February 2025 to 49% in the latest poll.
Political analysts warn that if the roughly one-in-eight to one-in-six Trump voters expressing some level of regret or hesitancy translate into lower GOP turnout or defections in 2026, it could reshape midterm dynamics and potentially produce gains for Democrats. For now, the polling narrative is less about wholesale abandonment of the former president than about a fraying of the most solid tiers of his support: voters who remain unhappy with his stewardship on core issues, uncertain about the Iran war response, or reconsidering their allegiance as economic pressures persist.