Duquesne University concluded its non-conference basketball slate with an 8-5 record, marked by a series of ups and downs. The Dukes ended on a high note, securing decisive victories against Canisius and non-Division I team Cleary, which has provided them with some momentum as they prepare to kick off Atlantic 10 play. Their first challenge will be a tough road matchup against Davidson, a team the Dukes have not defeated at Davidson since the Wildcats joined the Atlantic 10 a decade ago. Last season, Duquesne came close with a single-digit loss; however, the question remains: can the Dukes pull off an upset this time around?
Three critical factors will play a significant role in the game for Duquesne:
First is the performance of the frontcourt in the absence of John Hugley. The starting center, who averages 15.4 points and 5.6 rebounds per game, has missed the last three contests due to a “coach’s decision.” If he continues to be sidelined, the Dukes will rely heavily on sophomore David Dixon, with freshman Lazar Milosevic and junior Stef van Bussel ready to step in when needed. While Hugley’s absence will impact the team’s offensive capabilities, his potential defensive liabilities against Davidson’s high-octane offense could be a blessing in disguise. The presence of versatile forward Jakub Necas, who missed the last encounter against Davidson, may also bolster the Dukes’ frontcourt efforts.
Second, the Dukes must identify and effectively defend key players on the Davidson roster. The Wildcats boast a well-balanced offense with six players scoring between 8 and 10.4 points per game, making it essential for Duquesne to defend collectively rather than focus on individual stars. Notably, shooting guard Roberts Blums has emerged recently as a threat, averaging 9.9 points and shooting 39% from beyond the arc. He has tallied double-digit scores in five of his last seven games, including an impressive effort against Saint Mary’s. Duquesne will need to leverage its strong bench to counter Blums and maintain competitiveness during second-unit matchups.
Finally, the Dukes will require a third offensive contributor to step up alongside their starting backcourt duo of Guinyard, who averages 15.8 points and 5.2 assists per game, and Williams, contributing 14.7 points and 4.3 rebounds per game. With Hugley likely out, the duo’s performance alone may not suffice to secure a road victory. Options include Max Edwards, recognized as one of the top sixth men in the Atlantic 10, and Cam Crawford, who can deliver on the offensive end as a 3-and-D player. Duquesne also has returning players Alex Williams and Jake DiMichele, who have made impactful contributions off the bench, including several double-digit scoring outings. If one or more of these players can step up in tandem with Guinyard and Williams, the Dukes may have a legitimate opportunity to overcome Davidson and snag a crucial road win.