The Iowa State Cyclones are riding a wave of momentum as they prepare to face the BYU Cougars at 8 p.m. on their ongoing trip to Utah. Currently on a five-game winning streak, the Cyclones have built a solid rhythm, contrasting sharply with BYU’s recent struggles, which saw them defeated by both Kansas teams in their last outings, losing by over 20 points each time.

Iowa State showcased brilliance in their last game against Utah, where they led by as much as 19 points. The Cyclones excelled from beyond the arc, converting 10 of 24 attempts. Audi Crooks was the standout performer, scoring 24 points in the second half and grabbing eight rebounds, solidifying her position as a national scoring leader with an average of 25.9 points per game. Alongside Crooks, Arrianna Jackson and Sydney Harris made key contributions, each sinking four three-pointers to help secure a 79-72 victory in Salt Lake City.

In stark contrast, BYU has struggled recently, holding a 5-7 record in conference play and dropping four of their last five games, all by margins exceeding 14 points. Their sole recent victory against Utah provided a glimmer of hope but was overshadowed by defeats to subpar teams from Kansas. As a result, the Cougars have slipped out of ESPN’s tournament projections, currently positioned just outside the bubble, whereas Iowa State holds a favorable spot in the last four byes.

BYU ranks 12th in the conference for point differential, averaging -3.8, which underscores their recent difficulties. Metrics from Barttovik and NET rankings position BYU close to Kansas and Kansas State but reveal a notable struggle compared to Iowa State, which is ranked 33rd in both metrics.

For Iowa State, focusing on a few key areas will be crucial for their success against BYU. Limiting BYU’s offensive rebounds is a priority, as the Cougars lead the conference with 14.1 offensive boards per game. While BYU doesn’t have the highest shooting percentage, those extra chances could keep them competitive. Additionally, maintaining low turnover levels will be vital; Iowa State is leading the conference with only 14.2 turnovers per game and has averaged just over 12 in their last five outings. Given that BYU ranks third in steals, maintaining possession will be essential. The Cyclones are clearly energized and have found a system that works, especially amidst the absence of Addy Brown. A win against BYU would set the stage for an exciting Play4Kay game against Kansas State, which promises to attract a vibrant crowd eager to support this revitalized Iowa State team.

Prediction: Iowa State 75 – BYU 66.

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