New on-chain and institutional data point to growing bullish pressure on XRP as the token trades near a key technical ceiling ahead of the Senate Banking Committee’s markup of the CLARITY Act. XRP was changing hands around $1.43, down about 1.8% on the day, but accumulation among large holders and fresh inflows into XRP investment products suggest momentum could pick up if the legislative process delivers clearer regulatory guidance.

On-chain analytics firm Santiment reported on X that wallets holding at least 10,000 XRP climbed to a record 332,230, continuing a steady accumulation trend that began in June 2024. Santiment’s data show large holders added to positions even through bouts of volatility, a pattern the firm says underpins a more bullish holder base. The analytics provider also flagged an abrupt drop of more than 4,500 so-called whale wallets between Feb. 6 and Feb. 8, but added there was no confirmed XRP-specific event tied to that decline.

Institutional flows have been reinforcing the on-chain picture. CoinShares said XRP exchange-traded products recorded $40 million in inflows in the week ending May 8, bringing year-to-date inflows to $191 million and assets under management to $2.5 billion. CoinShares head of research James Butterfill described the pace of inflows as a “notable acceleration,” linking demand to developments around the US CLARITY Act compromise proposal on stablecoin yields. US-listed spot XRP ETFs also posted strong demand, with SoSoValue reporting $25.8 million in inflows on May 11 — the biggest single-day intake for those products since Jan. 5.

Technically, traders are watching the $1.50 area as the decisive breakout level. XRP sits above its 50-day exponential moving average near $1.41 but remains capped under the 100-day EMA at about $1.49 and the 200-day EMA around $1.71, a picture analysts interpret as short-term resilience inside a longer-term consolidation. Pseudonymous analyst Bird noted that XRP recently broke above a multi-month support line, which could set the stage for a major rally, while fellow analyst ChartNerd said the rebound from ascending support opens the possibility of a move toward $1.80.

The Senate markup of the CLARITY Act, scheduled for later today, adds a fresh fundamental trigger. The bill’s supporters argue that formally classifying certain tokens and clarifying the regulatory perimeter — potentially treating XRP-like tokens as commodities rather than securities — could resolve the protracted jurisdictional dispute between the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. That legal clarity is widely seen as a factor that could reduce institutional hesitancy and unlock further capital into XRP-linked products and infrastructure.

Despite the upbeat signals, market participants remain cautious. Immediate support is viewed at $1.44, with deeper downside at $1.30 and $1.20 if sellers regain control. On the upside, a confirmed daily close above $1.50 would likely expose resistance at $1.60 and then the $1.80–$1.85 region, but analysts warn a decisive breakout will be needed to shift the medium- to long-term technical outlook that is still constrained by the 100- and 200-day EMAs.

What happens in Washington this week could be the catalyst that tips the balance. For now, accumulation by large wallets and accelerating institutional flows have put XRP in a tighter range directly beneath the $1.50 threshold — a level traders now see as the line between continued consolidation and a renewed attempt at a sustained rally.

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