EDMONTON — A hardline Alberta separatist group on Monday submitted nearly 302,000 signatures to Elections Alberta, saying it has cleared the threshold needed to force the province to consider a referendum on leaving Canada.

Stay Free Alberta leader Mitch Sylvestre led a convoy of seven trucks to deliver the petitions to Elections Alberta’s Edmonton office, where about 300 supporters gathered, waving provincial flags and chanting “Alberta strong.” The group needed roughly 178,000 validated names to move the effort into the next stage; officials will now begin a formal verification process. Sylvestre said the papers were handled five times to check the signatures before submission.

Premier Danielle Smith has said she will move forward if Elections Alberta verifies enough names, and has suggested a provincewide ballot could be held as early as October. Smith, who has argued that federal policies have hampered Alberta’s oil production and competitiveness, has repeatedly said she does not personally support separation but wants Albertans to have their say on provincial autonomy and federal-provincial relations.

A successful “yes” vote would not automatically create an independent Alberta. Political scientists and legal experts say any move toward secession would trigger protracted negotiations with Ottawa and almost certainly face court challenges. A group of Alberta First Nations has already launched a legal challenge arguing that a separation initiative would violate treaty rights; an Edmonton judge is expected to rule on that case this week. Indigenous leaders have said they would use courts and other legal avenues to oppose any independence push.

Daniel Béland, a political science professor at McGill University, said the signatures submission is a milestone for separatist activists but cautioned the referendum’s prospects remain uncertain. Polling, he said, places support for independence at under 30 percent overall and much lower among committed voters, suggesting the pro-independence side would be unlikely to win a referendum at present. Béland also noted recent reports of a significant data breach involving a separatist group make Elections Alberta’s verification work especially important.

Stay Free Alberta’s petition drive has gone through multiple rounds of signature gathering and verification requirements established under provincial rules. If Elections Alberta confirms the signatures, the province would have to follow statutory timelines for placing the question before voters. The precise wording of any referendum question and the legal consequences of different outcomes remain open questions that would shape the next phase of debate.

The federal government did not immediately respond to requests for comment on Monday. Supporters of the campaign framed the submission as the start of a broader political struggle over Alberta’s place in Canada, while critics — including Indigenous leaders and many national politicians — warned that secession efforts would generate legal battles and significant economic uncertainty.

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